{"id":118197,"date":"2022-08-29T06:00:45","date_gmt":"2022-08-29T06:00:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/belux.edmo.eu\/?p=118197"},"modified":"2022-10-06T13:13:38","modified_gmt":"2022-10-06T13:13:38","slug":"faktencheck-ditsch-gasreserve-ginn-net-duer-fir-zwee-wanteren","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/belux.edmo.eu\/lb\/faktencheck-ditsch-gasreserve-ginn-net-duer-fir-zwee-wanteren\/","title":{"rendered":"Faktencheck: D\u00e4itsch Gasreserve ginn net duer fir zwee Wanteren"},"content":{"rendered":"
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An D\u00e4itschland lafen d’Preparatiounen, fir am Wanter genuch Gasreserven ze hunn, op H\u00e9ichtouren. Eng Behaaptung, d\u00e9i aktuell am \u00cbmlaf ass, dass d\u00e9i aktuell Reserve souguer fir zwee Wanteren duer goe g\u00e9ifen, ass par conter net richteg, w\u00e9i d’AFP recherch\u00e9iert huet.<\/p>\n

Dosenden Notzerinnen an Notzer hunn z\u00ebnter Ufank August e B\u00e4itrag op Facebook (hei<\/a>, hei<\/a>) gedeelt, deen ierf\u00e9ierend Behaaptungen iwwer d\u00e9i d\u00e4itsch Gasreserve verbreet.<\/p>\n

\"RTL\" Screenshot der Behauptung auf Facebook: 17.08.2022<\/p>\n

Iwwer d\u00e9i europ\u00e4esch Gasversuergung kurs\u00e9ieren z\u00ebnter dem Ufank vum Krich an der Ukrain eng s\u00ebllege Falschmeldungen a sozialen Netzwierker. D’AFP huet an der Vergaangenheet scho Behaaptunge gepr\u00e9ift, an deenen \u00e9istr\u00e4ichesch Energieversuerger d’Gasreserve vum Land<\/a> mat Benefice an d’Ausland verkaaft h\u00e4tten, souw\u00e9i verschidde Behaaptungen zum Spritverbrauch vu Fl\u00ebsseggassch\u00ebffer<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Den Artikel ass den 3. August 2022 an der Meenungsrubrik “Laut gedacht” an der Gratiszeitung\u00a0“WochenKurier”<\/a> erauskomm. D’Zeitung k\u00ebnnt all Woch a S\u00fcdbrandenburg an Deeler vu Sachsen eraus an thematis\u00e9iert virrangeg lokal Sujeten aus der Regioun. A sozialen Netzwierker ginn zanterhier Fotoe vum Zeitungsextrait gedeelt.<\/p>\n

D\u00e4itschland ass weiderhin op russesch Gasliwwerungen ugewisen<\/p>\n

Den Zeitungsextrait erw\u00e4\u00e4nt eng Analys vum Leibniz-Institut zu Halle iwwer d’S\u00e9cherheet vun der Gasversuergung. \u00cbnnert dem Projetsnumm “Gemeinschaftsdiagnose”<\/a> publiz\u00e9iert eng Grupp vu Fuerscher aus sechs Wirtschaftsfuerschungsinstituter zweemol am Joer eng aktuell Konjunkturanalys a -prognos fir d\u00e9i d\u00e4itsch Ekonomie. Dat ganzt am Optrag vun der d\u00e4itscher Bundesregierung.<\/p>\n

De russesche Staatsbetrib Gazprom hat de 27. Juli 2022 d’Gasliwwerungen a Richtung D\u00e4itschland<\/a> duerch d’Pipeliine Nord Stream 1 op ronn 20 Prozent vun der Maximalleeschtung, oder 33 Millioune Kubikmeter pro Dag<\/a>, reduz\u00e9iert. Een Dag m\u00e9i sp\u00e9it huet d’Projetsgrupp “Gemeinschaftsdiagnose” eng Ausw\u00e4ertung<\/a> mam Titel “Iwwer d’Gefor vun engem Manktem u Gas an D\u00e4itschland bei engem Erofstelle vun de russesche Liwwerungen op 20 Prozent” (Original: “Zur Gefahr einer Gasl\u00fccke in Deutschland bei einer Drosselung russischer Lieferungen auf 20 Prozent”) publiz\u00e9iert. Dora simul\u00e9ieren d’Fuerscher verschidden Zenarie fir d’Gasversuergung an D\u00e4itschland, falls d\u00e9i russesch Gasliwwerungen iwwer laang Z\u00e4it op 20 Prozent erofgesat bleiwe sollten.<\/p>\n

D’Ausw\u00e4ertung bas\u00e9iert dob\u00e4i op der Suppositioun, dass Russland vun August 2022 u just nach ronn eng Milliard Kubikmeter \u00c4erdgas pro Mount liwwert, wat ronn 20 Prozent vun der maximaler Capacit\u00e9it entspr\u00e9cht. Insgesamt 96 Milliarde Kubikmeter \u00c4erdgas import\u00e9iert D\u00e4itschland zous\u00e4tzlech aus anere L\u00e4nner. Gl\u00e4ichz\u00e4iteg geet d’Ausw\u00e4ertung bei de Reserve vun engem Stand vu ronn 67 Prozent (16,4 Milliarde Kubikmeter) Ufank August 2022 aus. D’Nofro beleeft sech an d\u00ebsem Modell t\u00ebscht August 2022 an Dezember 2023 op maximal 119 Milliarde Kubikmeter.<\/p>\n

D’Ausw\u00e4ertung k\u00ebnnt fir d\u00ebs Simulatioun zum Schluss, “dass sech ausgoend vum initiale Sp\u00e4icherstand en Defizit vu m\u00e9i w\u00e9i 7 Milliarde Kubikmeter erg\u00ebtt, dat am Abr\u00ebll, Mee an Dezember 2023 zu engem Manktem u Gas f\u00e9iert.” A kengem vun den errechenten Zenarie ginn d\u00e9i gesp\u00e4ichert Reserven eleng fir d\u00e9i zwee n\u00e4chst Wanteren duer.<\/p>\n

\"RTL\" Erdgasverf\u00fcgbarkeit bei einer Drosslung der russischen Erdgasimporte auf 20 Prozent ( Gemeinschaftsdiagnose \/ Sonderauswertung 28. Juli 2022 \/ )<\/p>\n

Dat confirm\u00e9iert den Oliver Holtem\u00f6ller<\/a>, Vizepresident vum Leibniz-Institut fir Wirtschaftsfuerschung Halle, deen un der Analys bedeelegt war. Hien huet den 18. August an enger E-Mail un d’AFP erkl\u00e4ert, dass d\u00e9i aktuell gesp\u00e4ichert Gasquantit\u00e9iten ouni weider Liwwerungen net duer g\u00e9ife goen, fir den d\u00e4itsche Gasverbrauch an den zwee n\u00e4chste Wanteren ze decken. Souguer wann d’Reserven aktuell komplett gef\u00ebllt w\u00e4ren, k\u00e9int dat gesp\u00e4ichert Gas de Bedarf net decken.<\/p>\n

Voll Gasreserven decken emol net e V\u00e9ierel vum Joresbedarf<\/p>\n

De j\u00e4rleche Gasverbrauch an D\u00e4itschland l\u00e4it d\u00e4itlech iwwer de Sp\u00e4ichercapacit\u00e9iten. Den Donn\u00e9e\u00eb vun der Bundesnetzagentur<\/a> no, d\u00e9i den d\u00e4itschen Energiemaart iwwerwaacht, goufen am Joer 2020 an D\u00e4itschland 941,1 Terawattstonnen (TWh) Gas verbraucht. 2019 waren et ronn 948 TWh. D\u00e9i maximal Sp\u00e4ichercapacit\u00e9it vun den d\u00e4itsche Gasreservoire beleeft sech den Donn\u00e9e\u00eb vum europ\u00e4esche Portal fir Gasreservoiren Agsi<\/a> no op insgesamt 243,4 TWh. Dat entspr\u00e9cht manner w\u00e9i engem V\u00e9ierel vum Gesamtverbrauch vun de leschte Joren.<\/p>\n

\"RTL\" Entwicklung des F\u00fcllstands der deutschen Gasspeicher 2022 im Vergleich zu Vorjahren, Stand 14.08.2022 ( THORSTEN EBERDING, STF \/ AFP \/ )<\/p>\n

Och d’Bundesnetzagentur huet a verschiddenen Zenarien<\/a> d’Konsequenze fir d’Gasversuergung an D\u00e4itschland, am Fall vu reduz\u00e9ierte russesche Gasliwwerungen oder engem vollst\u00e4nnege Liwwerstopp, berechent. All Zenario bas\u00e9iert op\u00a0 aneren Aschr\u00e4nkunge bei der Liwwerung a Verbrauchsw\u00e4erter. Eng vun de Modellrechnungen \u00ebnnersicht de Fall, dass vun Enn Juli 2022 u just nach 20 Prozent vun de russesche Liwwercapacit\u00e9iten an D\u00e4itschland ukommen.<\/p>\n

Op AFP-Ufro huet e Spriecher vun der Bundesnetzagentur de 17. August 2022 geschriwwen: “Bei enger Upassung vun den Exporter op 20 Prozent w\u00e4r eng Reduktioun vun der Consommatioun vun op d’mannst 20 Prozent noutwenneg, fir d’Gasversuergung fir den n\u00e4chste Wanter – awer net automatesch och fir de Wanter 2023\/24 – ze s\u00e9cheren.” Ouni entspriechend Mesure k\u00e9inten iwwer de ganze Wanter 2022\/23 Berechnunge vun der Bundesnetzagentur no 248 TWh Gas feelen.<\/p>\n

D’AFP huet den Auteur vum Artikel am “Wochenkurier” no senge Quelle fir d’Behaaptung gefrot. Hien huet den 18. August 2022 per E-Mail ge\u00e4ntwert, hie g\u00e9if sech op e B\u00e4itrag bez\u00e9ien, deen den 28. Juli 2022 bei “Zeit Online”<\/a> publiz\u00e9iert gouf. D\u00ebsen zit\u00e9iert er\u00ebm aus engem Artikel vum “Handelsblatt”<\/a>, deen iwwer d’Resultater vun der Ausw\u00e4ertung vun der Projetsgrupp Gemeinschaftsdiagnose bericht.<\/p>\n

A b\u00e9iden Zeitungsartikele geet awer net dovu rieds, dass d\u00e9i aktuell gesp\u00e4ichert Gasquantit\u00e9iten “nach fir zwee Wanteren” duer goe g\u00e9ifen. Villm\u00e9i heescht et am B\u00e4itrag vun der “Zeit”: “D’Fuerscher hu berechent, wat geschitt, wann d\u00e9i russesch Gasliwwerungen iwwer laang Z\u00e4it bei 20 Prozent bleiwe g\u00e9ifen. Hir Konklusioun: ‘Wann eis Suppositiounen esou antrieden, g\u00e9if de Gas souwuel an d\u00ebsem w\u00e9i och am n\u00e4chste Wanter duer goen’, zit\u00e9iert d’Zeitung de Christoph Schult vum Leibniz-Institut fir Wirtschaftsfuerschung zu Halle (IWH).”<\/p>\n

Fazit:<\/strong> De Gas, deen Ufank August 2022 an den d\u00e4itsche Reserve gesp\u00e4ichert ass, geet net duer, fir de Bedarf fir d\u00e9i n\u00e4chst zwee Wanteren ze decken. Eng Modellrechnung vun enger Rei Wirtschaftsinstituter koum Enn Juli zum Resultat, dass D\u00e4itschland och weiderhin op Gasliwwerungen ugewisen ass, fir s\u00e4i Bedarf ze decken. D’Capacit\u00e9ite vun den d\u00e4itsche Gassp\u00e4icher entspriechen ongef\u00e9ier engem V\u00e9ierel vun der j\u00e4rlech verbrauchter Quantit\u00e9it u Gas an D\u00e4itschland.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

D\u00ebsen Artikel vun der AFP gouf vun RTL op L\u00ebtzebuergesch iwwersat.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

  An D\u00e4itschland lafen d’Preparatiounen, fir am Wanter genuch Gasreserven ze hunn, op H\u00e9ichtouren. Eng Behaaptung, d\u00e9i aktuell am \u00cbmlaf…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":118192,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[191,217,185],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-118197","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-politik","8":"category-ukraine-lb","9":"category-wirtschaft"},"acf":{"show_metatags":true,"id":"1956836","authors":"RTL L\u00ebtzebuerg","organization":"RTL","featured_image_copyright":"","text_copyright":"Copyright RTL \/ CLT-UFA S.A.","source":"http:\/\/www.rtl.lu\/news\/faktencheck\/a\/1956836.html","fact_checker":"https:\/\/belux.wpengine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/rtl_logo.png","type":"Closed Event","location":"","start_date":"","start_date_event_begins_at":"","start_date_event_ends_at":"","end_date":"","end_date_event_begins_at":"","end_date_event_ends_at":"","organizer":"","fact_checker_logo_image":false},"yoast_head":"\nFaktencheck: D\u00e4itsch Gasreserve ginn net duer fir zwee Wanteren - EDMO Belux<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/belux.edmo.eu\/lb\/faktencheck-ditsch-gasreserve-ginn-net-duer-fir-zwee-wanteren\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Faktencheck: D\u00e4itsch Gasreserve ginn net duer fir zwee Wanteren - EDMO Belux\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"  An D\u00e4itschland lafen d’Preparatiounen, fir am Wanter genuch Gasreserven ze hunn, op H\u00e9ichtouren. 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